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It’s a lighter NBA slate on Tuesday night, but that doesn’t mean we’re going light in the NBA best bets department!
Yours truly has four plays outlined for the night’s action, including a pair of home teams that are facing the worst road teams against the spread this season.
Plus, Klay Thompson may have too high of a line for a certain prop against the hottest team in the NBA, my New York Knicks.
That may be the only time I can say that this season, so you’ll have to bear with me.
Let’s win some NBA bets!
NBA best bets record to date
NBA best bets today
- Utah Jazz -2.5 (-110) vs. Detroit Pistons
- New York Knicks -4.5 (-110) vs. Golden State Warriors
- Denver Nuggets Moneyline (+100) vs. Memphis Grizzlies
- Klay Thompson UNDER 4.5 3-Pointers (-150)
Utah Jazz -2.5 (-110) vs. Detroit Pistons
The Utah Jazz have taken a step back since their amazing start to the season, but they still rank No. 4 in the NBA in offensive rating entering this game.
Utah is on the second leg of a back-to-back after getting blown out by the Cleveland Cavaliers, but the team is 5-3 ATS in this spot this season.
Cleveland has the league’s No. 1 defense, so the Jazz are getting a much easier matchup against Detroit (29th in defensive rating), who has gone just 4-11 straight up at home and is losing those games by an average margin of 6.7 points.
Utah’s No. 25 defense shouldn’t hold it back against a bad Pistons team.
New York Knicks -4.5 (-110) vs. Golden State Warriors
Can the New York Knicks win their eight straight game?
I think so, as they’re facing one of the worst road teams in the NBA, the Golden State Warriors, on Tuesday.
Golden State is down Andrew Wiggins and Steph Curry, and the team is a brutal 3-14 on the road, going 4-13 against the spread in those games.
The Warriors did pick up a road win over the Toronto Raptors on Sunday, but they have to face a Knicks team that ranks second in the league in net rating over its last 10 games, covering the spread in seven straight on this winning streak.
With the Knicks’ lefty trio of Jalen Brunson, RJ Barrett and Julius Randle playing well, I think they grab this win as home favorites.
Denver Nuggets Moneyline (+100) vs. Memphis Grizzlies
Do you sense a theme in today’s column?
We’re fading teams that are terrible on the road this season, and the Memphis Grizzlies fit that bill.
Memphis is a league worst 3-10-1 against the spread on the road this season, and now it’s taking on a Denver team that has gone 9-3 straight up at home, winning those games by an average margin of 9.1 points.
The Nuggets do have a few players on the injury report as questionable (Jamal Murray, Jeff Green, Kentavious Caldwell-Pope), but Nikola Jokic appears to be playing which is good enough for me.
Denver’s weakness has been on defense this season (ranking 27th in the NBA), but the team improves to the No. 13 defense at home. Memphis, on the other hand, is the No. 18 ranked defense on the road this season.
Getting Denver at even money at home is a steal, especially with the No. 1 seed in the West on the line.
Klay Thompson UNDER 4.5 3-Pointers (-150)
The Warriors won’t have Steph Curry against the Knicks, but don’t buy into this high line for Klay Thompson.
Klay hit four 3-pointers in his first game against the Knicks this season, but he’s failed to hit five or more treys in seven of his last nine games.
New York has really improved on defense over this winning streak, holding opponents to just 30.2 percent shooting from beyond the arc, the best defensive mark in the league.
I’ll fade Klay even at -150 odds.
Find Peter Dewey’s full betting record here.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.